In an evaluation report associated to the 2024 nationwide polls, the Free and Truthful Election Community (Fafen) highlighted that main events — Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI), Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz (PML-N), and Pakistan Peoples Social gathering Parliamentarians (PPPP) — retained their cumulative vote banks.
The non-government ballot observer launched its newest report titled “GE-2024 Nationwide and Provincial Elections: Votes Polled and Social gathering Shares in Votes and Seats” on Sunday, offering an evaluation of political events’ shares within the common vote and their corresponding seats within the nationwide and provincial assemblies.
It said that main political events largely retained their cumulative and particular person vote banks throughout each nationwide and provincial assemblies within the February 8 nationwide polls.
Through the 2024 polls, the three main events collectively secured 68% of the vote share for the Nationwide Meeting and 62% for the 4 provincial assemblies.
By comparability, the aforementioned events had acquired 69% and 61% vote shares, respectively, within the 2018 basic elections, and 65% and 58% within the 2013 nationwide polls.
The report said that the variety of votes polled for Nationwide Meeting constituencies was marginally larger than these polled for provincial assemblies.
A partial cause for the distinction was the postponement of elections in a single nationwide (NA-8 Bajaur in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa) and three provincial constituencies (PK-22 Bajaur-IV and PK-91 Kohat-II in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and PP-266 Rahimyar Khan-XII in Punjab).
It additionally revealed that not one of the main events secured an absolute majority of their respective strongholds, even the place they’ve shaped governments following the overall elections.
In Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, the PTI garnered 45% of the vote in NA contests, with the remaining 55% break up amongst different events.
The Jamiat Ulema-e-Islam-Pakistan (JUI-P) acquired 16%, the PML-N — at the moment ruling the nation — secured 10%, the Awami Nationwide Social gathering (ANP) and independents every secured 7%, and different events collectively accounted for 15%.
Carefully contested race between PTI, PML-N
A intently contested race unfolded between PTI and PML-N in Islamabad Capital Territory (ICT) and Punjab.
In ICT, the Imran Khan-founded occasion secured 33% of the vote, narrowly surpassing the Nawaz Sharif-founded occasion’s 31%, whereas independents captured 20%. The Tehreek Labbaik Pakistan (TLP) acquired 5%, the PPPP 4%, and different events collectively accounted for 7%.
In Punjab, the previous ruling occasion — PTI — led with 35% of the NA vote, narrowly edging out PML-N, which garnered 34%.
The religio-political occasion — TLP — adopted with 7%, the PPPP with 6%, independents with 14%, and different events with 5%, the report said.
In Sindh, the PPPP secured 46% of the nationwide vote, adopted by the Grand Democratic Alliance (GDA) with 12%, whereas, the PTI and independents every garnered 9%.
The Muttahida Qaumi Motion Pakistan (MQM-P) secured 8%, and different smaller events collectively accounted for 16%.
Subsequently, Balochistan exhibited essentially the most fragmented voting sample, with regional events and independents securing 35% and 16% of the nationwide vote respectively. The JUIP secured 16%, the PML-N 14%, the PPPP 10%, and the PTI 7%.
A lot larger seat shares
It additionally highlighted that the three main events — PTI, PML-N, and PPPP — earned a lot larger seat shares compared to their vote shares.
Total, PTI secured 34% of the nationwide and provincial meeting seats for an general vote share of 28% for all assemblies. The PML-N captured 27% of the seats with 23% of the vote, whereas the PPPP received 19% of the seats with simply 14% of the vote share.
In distinction, smaller events struggled to transform votes into seats. For example, the TLP, which secured 5% of the entire votes, received solely 0.1% of the seats, and the JUIP secured 4% of the vote however solely 3% of the seats.